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West Bengal’s Political Landscape Ahead of Lok Sabha Elections 2024

Kalyani Jha
13 Apr, 2024

As West Bengal gears up for the upcoming Lok Sabha Elections in 2024, the political arena is abuzz with predictions and analyses, highlighting the potential shifts and challenges faced by key players.

BJP’s Ascendancy and TMC’s Resilience: Several opinion polls and experts’ assessments indicate a growing edge for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) over the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) in West Bengal. Political strategist Prashant Kishor’s surprising prediction of BJP becoming the number one party in the state adds to the anticipation.

Poll Predictions and Key Factors: News18 Mega Opinion Poll 2024 and India TV-CNX polls foresee significant gains for BJP, while ABP-CVoter opinion poll favors TMC. The Sandeshkhali incident, TMC’s independent stance in the elections, PM Modi’s campaign impact, CAA’s implementation, and discontent over corruption are cited as pivotal factors.

BJP’s Strategic Moves: BJP’s focus on issues like the Sandeshkhali incident, utilizing PM Modi as a star campaigner, and leveraging the effects of CAA implementation indicate a calculated strategy to gain ground in Bengal.

TMC’s Challenges and Strategy: TMC’s historical dominance in West Bengal faces challenges from BJP’s surge, especially with BJP gaining ground in recent state and national elections. Mamata Banerjee’s emphasis on minority concerns, opposition to CAA, and targeting migrant workers and elite Bengali voters form part of TMC’s electoral strategy.

Impact on Key Constituencies: The electoral battle is expected to be fierce in constituencies with significant Matua and minority populations. Both BJP and TMC are strategizing to consolidate their support bases in these critical areas.

The Countdown Begins: With the Lok Sabha elections scheduled in seven phases, starting from April 19 and concluding on June 1, West Bengal’s political dynamics are set to witness intense campaigning, coalition strategies, and voter sentiments shaping the outcome on June 4.

As the countdown begins, West Bengal stands at a crossroads, witnessing a tug of war between BJP’s rising aspirations and TMC’s established stronghold, making the 2024 elections a crucial milestone in the state’s political narrative.